Trade Expectancy Analyzer
Plug in your stats and see if you have an edge — win rate, expectancy, profit factor, Kelly criterion, and a visual breakeven map.
Why this matters
Win rate alone tells you nothing. 70% win rate with tiny wins and large losses is a losing strategy. Expectancy is the number that actually matters — the average dollar amount you make or lose per trade.
The mathematically optimal risk per trade. Most traders use half Kelly — full Kelly maximizes growth but also volatility.
Your dot must be above the curve to be profitable. The further above, the stronger your edge. Near the line? Commissions might push you under.
Disclaimer: This calculator is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial, tax, or legal advice. While reasonable care is taken in its preparation, no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the results. You are solely responsible for verifying all figures and for any decisions made on their basis. Empathy Edge Markets accepts no liability for any loss or damage arising from the use of this tool.
Need a professional trading platform? Get ATAS — advanced order flow and volume analysis for serious traders. Try it free.